Weather forecasters can’t be perfect
I have heard it a million times: “It must be great to be in the profession of weather forecasting, where you can be paid to be wrong much of the time.” All I will say about that is this: People in many other professions make mistakes too, as we are all human.We never claim to totally nail it, even the temperature. Most of the time, we are within a few degrees of what we forecast. Let’s say we forecast a high of 85 and it only hits 82. That’s no big deal. It won’t impact what you do.March 2 was no exception on the temperature accuracy. Most forecasters were only off by a few degrees. However, in this case, a couple of degrees meant the difference between a cold rain and a heavy wet snow. Unfortunately, this slight error generated a huge societal impact.The computer models the weather forecasters used conflicted more than usual. Often a blend or average of the models works best, but not in this case.Even with all these challenges, hats should go off to the National Weather Service of Albany , which quickly updated the forecast when it saw the white snow of the storm’s eye, a lot whiter than earlier thought.Hugh JohnsonAlbanyThe writer is a retired National Weather Service meteorologist.More from The Daily Gazette:Foss: Should main downtown branch of the Schenectady County Public Library reopen?EDITORIAL: Find a way to get family members into nursing homesEDITORIAL: Thruway tax unfair to working motoristsEDITORIAL: Urgent: Today is the last day to complete the censusFeds: Albany man sentenced for role in romance scam Categories: Letters to the Editor, OpinionThe March 2 weather forecast was a nightmare challenge in the immediate Capital District. I know. I was one of the forecasters, retired now, but still with an addiction for a forecast challenge.Like many forecasters, my snowfall numbers were initially way off.